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if president obama wins nevada, iowa and pennsylvania, nevada, iowa, and pennsylvania, and let's say mitt romney wins colorado, new hampshire, and florida. new hampshire, colorado, that leaves three toss-ups. wisconsin, ohio, and the old dominion. so if the candidates split, ohio and wisconsin, neither one of them gets to the 270 electoral votes needed to win without virginia. and the final nbc news wall street journal poll before this election, it shows virginia in a statistic call tie. back to you. >> the following two breaking stories tonight. a commuter train hit and killed a person. no word on what led to the identity of the victim. shuttles have been taking some passengers to their death nations. delays are not expected to have an impact on the commute in the morning. >>> a 75-year-old man was critically injured in an apartment fire. and firefighters found him in the basement of the apartments on generals highway in crownsville. the cause of this fire is still under investigation. >> tonight, a father is facing charges after his 4-year-old child fell on the high-rise apartment
if president obama wins nevada, iowa and pennsylvania, nevada, iowa, and pennsylvania, and let's say mitt romney wins colorado, new hampshire, and florida. new hampshire, colorado, that leaves three toss-ups. wisconsin, ohio, and the old dominion. so if the candidates split, ohio and wisconsin, neither one of them gets to the 270 electoral votes needed to win without virginia. and the final nbc news wall street journal poll before this election, it shows virginia in a statistic call tie. back...
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i think he will probably take ohio, nevada, wisconsin, iowa and new hampshire. and he has got 236 electoral votes. so i put him at 281. david: now if the president is reelected, he said, out and out he will not sign any tax bill that doesn't have a tax increase. these tax increases are very significant. doubling of the dividend tax. more than doubling of the dividend tax. >> talking about fiscal cliff issues. david: yeah. >> the fiscal cliff, we've all been focused on the outcome of the election. once the election is over and nobody will be happier about that than i am. i guess obama and romney will be happy but i will be number three. then we have to focus on the fiscal cliff. the fiscal cliff is 4%, nominal gdp. and the nominal gdp is about 4%. if you tax the whole thing you go from economy limping along to zero. and that is not good. so they won't pass the whole thing but, i think obama will pass the expiration of the bush tax cuts on those that make more than 250. i think that is going to happen. certain other parts will happen. probably 1 1/2% of the four w
i think he will probably take ohio, nevada, wisconsin, iowa and new hampshire. and he has got 236 electoral votes. so i put him at 281. david: now if the president is reelected, he said, out and out he will not sign any tax bill that doesn't have a tax increase. these tax increases are very significant. doubling of the dividend tax. more than doubling of the dividend tax. >> talking about fiscal cliff issues. david: yeah. >> the fiscal cliff, we've all been focused on the outcome of...
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iowa, nevada, florida, new hampshire on romney side. here is the point. you been to mcconnell sert. the maller band opens up and then wait for the headline act. do you find it strange that springstein opened for jay-toss make jay-z the bigger act? >> greg: he is the bigger act. average age of springstein fan is 87. >> bob: 18,000, that is a huge crowd. >> dana: buck county with 30,000. challengers get bigger crowd on the weekend. give romney credit, they have big turn-outs, but there is hatred of obama. >> kimberly: i don't think it's hatred. they're motivated and inspired about someone with ideas. >> eric: we like capitalism. >> kimberly: we have to get out of here. >> dana: campaign carl is on the road with romney. he has update on the strategy to win in the states ohio and pennsylvania tomorrow. that's next. ♪ ♪ i was having trouble getting out of bed in the morning because my back hurt so bad. the sleep number bed conforms to you. i wake up in the morning with no back pain. i can adjust it if i need to...if my back's a little more sore. and by the time i get up in the mornin
iowa, nevada, florida, new hampshire on romney side. here is the point. you been to mcconnell sert. the maller band opens up and then wait for the headline act. do you find it strange that springstein opened for jay-toss make jay-z the bigger act? >> greg: he is the bigger act. average age of springstein fan is 87. >> bob: 18,000, that is a huge crowd. >> dana: buck county with 30,000. challengers get bigger crowd on the weekend. give romney credit, they have big turn-outs,...
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nevada used to be a swing state. 71% again in the state of nevada. one of the key battlegrounds. let me give you one more example. colorado. once a red state, now a purple state. latino vote, double digits and 75%. 75%. let's look over here. president wins nevada. once a swing state. wins colorado. wins new mexico. this used to be one of the classic swing states in american politics. don't even think about it anymore, right? and he's probably going to win florida. why do i circle those? i'm going to slide this little barrier. the darker the colors, the higher the latino population. nevada, colorado, new mexico, florida, you can find other places as well up into the midwest. the republicans don't solve this problem. this is a crisis for the republican party. >> it certainly is. we're going to talk more about texas in a bit because i see that orange there. what about women? i know this war on women fight, a lot of people wondered whether it would be effective, but when it actually happened -- >> in a word, yes. >> romney did not make up that gap again. >> play the exit polls. natio
nevada used to be a swing state. 71% again in the state of nevada. one of the key battlegrounds. let me give you one more example. colorado. once a red state, now a purple state. latino vote, double digits and 75%. 75%. let's look over here. president wins nevada. once a swing state. wins colorado. wins new mexico. this used to be one of the classic swing states in american politics. don't even think about it anymore, right? and he's probably going to win florida. why do i circle those? i'm...
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Nov 15, 2012
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university of nevada, they're doing research on the h hormonas of ptsd. what women have to deal with when they come home from behind the lines is incredible. >> essentially, women in these wars are in combat. they're in the military police. there is no combat zone of the kind we knew before. they're right out there side by side and, by the way, not treated equally when it comes to pay and rank. at the same time, when they go back to where people go to rest, they are treated as women, and they are facing terrible, horrendous sexual harassment. so you put on top of what is a front-on experience, sexual harassment, you get something very different from -- >> and someone who has suffered from posttraumatic stress and the hormone levels, i was not getting where i was supposed to and it did not up my hormone levels. i can afford to go to different doctors, but for veterans across the board is not a level playing field, but being a woman imagine going from hormonal problems, ptsd and effects from the sidelines, so that's why it impacts us differently. >> what do
university of nevada, they're doing research on the h hormonas of ptsd. what women have to deal with when they come home from behind the lines is incredible. >> essentially, women in these wars are in combat. they're in the military police. there is no combat zone of the kind we knew before. they're right out there side by side and, by the way, not treated equally when it comes to pay and rank. at the same time, when they go back to where people go to rest, they are treated as women, and...
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>> looking at nevada, we talked about the third district and the fourth district, which was drawn and assumed democrats would win it. the republican is in the game. he lost in the senate primary in 2010. that is that type of district democrat should be winning in need to win in order to do well. overall on election night i will be watching the seats that republicans better republicans favored or even been republican. that is how far down our competitive races. democrats have to start winning and defeating republican members in order to get close to the majority. for not winning those heavily- republican seats, they will not have enough. look at the balance of power and where the president is strong and where mitt romney is strong. >> the most impact is seen with the presidential race i think has already happened. i know in talking to democrats that are watching the races, the first debate was fundamentally important, not just because it shifted the presidential race, but because it was a time when house candidates registered to go on television tried to prove moderate credentials. the
>> looking at nevada, we talked about the third district and the fourth district, which was drawn and assumed democrats would win it. the republican is in the game. he lost in the senate primary in 2010. that is that type of district democrat should be winning in need to win in order to do well. overall on election night i will be watching the seats that republicans better republicans favored or even been republican. that is how far down our competitive races. democrats have to start...
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nevada, we project that the president will win in nevada. will carry six electoral votes. 63% of vote is in. the president has a significant 54- 54-44-point lead. he now has 280 electoral votes. he needed 270. he is building building up another cushion. waiting for florida, virginia, colorado. >> yes, and alaska. let's assume alaska stays to republican dna. >> close at 1:00 a.m. >> i'll make you some scrambled eggs. at the moment, the president is leading in colorado, the president has a narrow lead in virginia, and the president has a narrow lead in florida. the president could get up above 3:30. 356 electoral votes when he beat john mccain four years ago. light states are called at home. what is the final map, what are the takeaways. taken away north carolina. the president won last time. governor romney taken away indiana, and the president won last time. if this is how we end up, republicans will be profoundly disappointed, not only in losing when you have no president since franklin roosevelt won with an unemployment rate above 7.1%. pr
nevada, we project that the president will win in nevada. will carry six electoral votes. 63% of vote is in. the president has a significant 54- 54-44-point lead. he now has 280 electoral votes. he needed 270. he is building building up another cushion. waiting for florida, virginia, colorado. >> yes, and alaska. let's assume alaska stays to republican dna. >> close at 1:00 a.m. >> i'll make you some scrambled eggs. at the moment, the president is leading in colorado, the...
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nevada is the opposite case. high unemployment rate but some argue harry reid has put enough machinery on the ground to make a difference for the democrats. >> first, can you hear me this time? >> we can. >> great. so first i will say as a virginia resident, i think we're all going to be very happy when this election is finally over. when you're in a swing state you get ten robo calls a day and things stuffed in your mailbox every night. virginia is exceptional for a couple reasons. first, governor mcdonald has done quite an extraordinary job of lifting the economy here, done it with a set of policies that are in direct opposition to president obama has done in the past and will do in the future, that is he's lowered tax rates closed a budget deficit. but as was pointed out earlier, virginia is also a place that benefits tremendously from federal government, from the military, and from businesses that associate themselves with the defense establishment in general. i do think that if virginia goes to obama, that's
nevada is the opposite case. high unemployment rate but some argue harry reid has put enough machinery on the ground to make a difference for the democrats. >> first, can you hear me this time? >> we can. >> great. so first i will say as a virginia resident, i think we're all going to be very happy when this election is finally over. when you're in a swing state you get ten robo calls a day and things stuffed in your mailbox every night. virginia is exceptional for a couple...
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i will give you nevada as your best of the battleground states. what's your worst? what are you most worried about? >> well, you know, john, somebody was quoted yesterday as saying that's like choosing between our children. >> so choose. >> we are tied or -- i'm not going to do that. we're tied or ahead in every single battleground state. certainly some of them are tighter than others. north carolina is extremely tight. but we're pleased with where we are going into election day. we have advantage on the early vote. we've done significant work with voter registration in that state. we're close in florida. again, significant advantage on early vote. and done a lot of work on voter registration. >> can i run that through the universal political translator and say you're most worried about north carolina and florida? >> those are your words. >> let me bring in david gergen. he's also got a question. >> stephanie, good to see you. tell us what three things we should be looking for tomorrow night as a sense of which way it's going. what are you going to be looking for? >
i will give you nevada as your best of the battleground states. what's your worst? what are you most worried about? >> well, you know, john, somebody was quoted yesterday as saying that's like choosing between our children. >> so choose. >> we are tied or -- i'm not going to do that. we're tied or ahead in every single battleground state. certainly some of them are tighter than others. north carolina is extremely tight. but we're pleased with where we are going into election...
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in would argue that mash -- michigan and nevada should be leaning obama before last week. we have a very close election. and it is going to be decided on election night with -- with a bunch of potential surprises. >> chris: you have a white board. >> think about this. on the thirdf november, 2008, president obamma was at or above 50% in 7 of the 13 battleground states that year. in those same state this is year, on same date, 4 years later, he is 50%, not above, but 50% in just two, wisconsin and nev dismef and wisconsin, he is only at 50% because there is 1 pole, an outliwer an 8-point lead. we have gone from cruise into victory in 2008, to a tight, tight, tight race in 2012. >> chris: lanlast question. what do you make of romney going to pennsylvania today? what do you make of obama with last-minute ad buys in florida and virginia? who's got in wind at the back? who is serious? hois bluffing? >> they are all serious and they are not bluffing. president obama has difficulty in florida and virginia two, states where the real clear politics average goes to romney. and penns
in would argue that mash -- michigan and nevada should be leaning obama before last week. we have a very close election. and it is going to be decided on election night with -- with a bunch of potential surprises. >> chris: you have a white board. >> think about this. on the thirdf november, 2008, president obamma was at or above 50% in 7 of the 13 battleground states that year. in those same state this is year, on same date, 4 years later, he is 50%, not above, but 50% in just two,...
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florida, virginia, wisconsin, colorado, iowa, new hampshire and nevada. joining me here in ohio is john avlon. he has been traveling the state aboard the cnn election express bus. i'm also joined by john king in washington, d.c. the electoral college map, how does it add up right now? >> when you talk to the two campaigns, it's as if even though it's one country, they live in parallel universes. both saying they will win tomorrow. the president is ahead in most of the key battleground states. they are down confidence in the obama campaign and don't get too much dispute out of the romney campaign that they will win the state of nevada. then they come to the midwest where you are. they are most confident in the midwest they will carry again. i know republicans watching are saying they'll prove you wrong. they're confident about the state of iowa. that would get the president to 259. takes 270 win. when you ask them about these battleground states, they say they're most confidence about ohio, where you are. the president took that game over. no republicans w
florida, virginia, wisconsin, colorado, iowa, new hampshire and nevada. joining me here in ohio is john avlon. he has been traveling the state aboard the cnn election express bus. i'm also joined by john king in washington, d.c. the electoral college map, how does it add up right now? >> when you talk to the two campaigns, it's as if even though it's one country, they live in parallel universes. both saying they will win tomorrow. the president is ahead in most of the key battleground...
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i know it takes iowa and nevada. here it is. there it is. >> iowa, nevada have to get in there and we've got five more somewhere else. it's the swap of colorado. is it that? well. >> where do you have new hampshire? i can't see from here? >> we'll have to figure it out. it was off. this is what happens when we're missing it. the math is there. >> we'll take a break, we know it's there, the math is there. 269/269s. >> that's a nightmare. >> some say we'll be spending a lot of good times. >> here it is. that's what we're missing here. new hampshire over to there. >> new hampshire. >> and then we have it. >> thank you so much, chuck. >> bye now. >> chuck and the magic map. up next, mayor antonio villaraigosa in florida today, and house majority leader eric cantor from virginia, live from democracy plaza only here on msnbc. [ female announcer ] the humana walmart-preferred rx plan p-d-p gives you a low national plan premium... so you can focus on what really matters. call humana at 1-800-808-4003. colin powell: yes. when he took ove
i know it takes iowa and nevada. here it is. there it is. >> iowa, nevada have to get in there and we've got five more somewhere else. it's the swap of colorado. is it that? well. >> where do you have new hampshire? i can't see from here? >> we'll have to figure it out. it was off. this is what happens when we're missing it. the math is there. >> we'll take a break, we know it's there, the math is there. 269/269s. >> that's a nightmare. >> some say we'll be...
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iowa and nevada, we too close to call. for all of iowa's six electoral votes, they campaign my crazy nonstate. lou: this is a tough battle. it is always nice for these challengers against the incumbents. a tough uphill work in the best of times. they are running against very clever political operation in the obama campaign. neil: utah such a mormon stronghold. the romney has very strong ties in that state. his family has strong ties. no surprise that utah kids that way. orrin hatch was one who did resist a tea tea party insurgent. this would be his seventh term. lou: such a remarkably able u.s. senator. neil: he moved a lot of positions, he moved gingerly to the right, he cornered his tea party opponent and the winner of the republican primary. that is a seat that stays in republican hands. it could mean that republicans and in worse shape than what we think. lou: given what we have seen, i am not surprised -- in missouri and indiana, this is a campaign organization. let's be straight forward. the strategy was sometimes in
iowa and nevada, we too close to call. for all of iowa's six electoral votes, they campaign my crazy nonstate. lou: this is a tough battle. it is always nice for these challengers against the incumbents. a tough uphill work in the best of times. they are running against very clever political operation in the obama campaign. neil: utah such a mormon stronghold. the romney has very strong ties in that state. his family has strong ties. no surprise that utah kids that way. orrin hatch was one who...
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they say those new voters plus apparent early voting leads in ohio, florida, iowa and nevada will put them over the top. mr. obama told a crowd of 23,000 in hollywood, florida, it's all up to them now. >> you know what i believe, you know where i stand. and you know that no matter what happens, i'll fight for you and your family every single day as hard as i know how. >> reporter: president obama will spend the last day of his last campaign in three midwest states, iowa, ohio and wisconsin. he said today that at this stage in the race he is merely a prop. and that the real stars of this drama are his get out the vote teams and the voters themselves, jeff. >> jeff: nancy, thank you. jan crawford now is with governor romney in pennsylvania. >> two more days! two more days and we can get to work rebuilding our country! >> two more days! >> reporter: in the crucial state of ohio, romney talked today in sweeping language about a brighter future. >> two more days we start rebuilding our country and restoring our confidence and renewing our conviction. confidence that we're in a solid path t
they say those new voters plus apparent early voting leads in ohio, florida, iowa and nevada will put them over the top. mr. obama told a crowd of 23,000 in hollywood, florida, it's all up to them now. >> you know what i believe, you know where i stand. and you know that no matter what happens, i'll fight for you and your family every single day as hard as i know how. >> reporter: president obama will spend the last day of his last campaign in three midwest states, iowa, ohio and...
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nevada, i put it in the democratic column. a tossup. there it is. >> these were the rules. >> exactly. but you made the rules. owe didn't deliver your o map. >> 285 for romney 253 for obama. romney carries mccain state and florida. i thinkness and wisconsin, potential pennsylvania are knife's edge states. inness, up for nevada. >> i think significantly and we have, there are true tossups we can argue. we agree on 46 states. roughly. there are only four states we disagree about. >> again, if you believe the turn-out miles that most poll show, obama would win by 300. five states. >> yeah. >> colorado, iowa, virginia, ohio, new hampshire. otherwise we agree. when we're forced to -- >> wrap up with this. we do this ipad app. >> so we want to pick some closest. the closeest to karl is mark alcott who had the same map. if you put it up, we will send mark something. what are we sending anymore >> out graphed copy of my book. >> okay. there you go. >> i'm sending one to him, too. closest to joe's map is alex tomp kins. >> he agrees with me on e
nevada, i put it in the democratic column. a tossup. there it is. >> these were the rules. >> exactly. but you made the rules. owe didn't deliver your o map. >> 285 for romney 253 for obama. romney carries mccain state and florida. i thinkness and wisconsin, potential pennsylvania are knife's edge states. inness, up for nevada. >> i think significantly and we have, there are true tossups we can argue. we agree on 46 states. roughly. there are only four states we disagree...
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the obama campaign is extremely confident because of the latino vote, about nevada. now you're in this position here. can governor romney get there? can he get there without, even if he won colorado, even if he won iowa, and even if he won new hampshire, he's short. what would he have to do? that's the pennsylvania strategy you were just thinking about. he would have to take that away and turn it red. that would make the difference, but it's improbable. the deep blue dna of pennsylvania makes that somewhat improbable. which is why we're going to spend a long time tonight, late campaign polling is not always what happens on election day. i talk to some people in hamilton county, ohio, to cincinnati, they were much more encouraged today than they were last night. if that one is blue at the end of the night, it's not impossible, but it is improbable, i would say, to find a romney path to 270. >> in the past, as we say often, no republican has won the white house without ohio. anderson? >> i just want to quickly check in with our analyst, about what peter hamby just repo
the obama campaign is extremely confident because of the latino vote, about nevada. now you're in this position here. can governor romney get there? can he get there without, even if he won colorado, even if he won iowa, and even if he won new hampshire, he's short. what would he have to do? that's the pennsylvania strategy you were just thinking about. he would have to take that away and turn it red. that would make the difference, but it's improbable. the deep blue dna of pennsylvania makes...
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the state of nevada. we're not making that projectioning yet of a winner but we believe it is likely that the president will win that state. anna western certificate in nevada tonight, anna? >> reporter: well, scott, you've seen an influx of hispanics into nevada in recent years, along with other minority group, african-americans and asians. but the latino vote is now roughly 15% of the total. and it's considered critical here. it's also part of the democratic get out the vote campaign here which has resulted in 9 o-- 90,000 more registered democrats than republicans. we just talked to secretary of state ross miller and he expects results will start being released here in the next 20 minutes or so. he said they have had no major problems here. but he said that the influx of hispanicsnd minorities here has made a big difference on the ground here. so we can be watching that as we continue to watch the results come in here. and he says they've had no major problems, no long lines and he expects they should
the state of nevada. we're not making that projectioning yet of a winner but we believe it is likely that the president will win that state. anna western certificate in nevada tonight, anna? >> reporter: well, scott, you've seen an influx of hispanics into nevada in recent years, along with other minority group, african-americans and asians. but the latino vote is now roughly 15% of the total. and it's considered critical here. it's also part of the democratic get out the vote campaign...
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connell: you think nevada colorado go to obama and he still wins ohio? >> yes. i am not perfect but the hispanic vote, obviously the storm is a massive tragedy to slow the governor's momentum. the president looked presidential. those two factors will make the difference. connell: looking at the possibilipossibili ty is the rest of the hour but the economic course 10 the former energy secretary, gas prices every day at the all-time high on election day. that have a negative effect at all for the president? >> and not think the voters blame presidents for gas prices. and has been going down. he does have a strong commitment to renewable energy. i think it is awash. >> the hispanic vote turns out. thank you for coming on today governor richardson. dagen: the all-time high by $0.3 per is close. brett baier is here. >> good morning. dagen: what will you look at tonight's the people will not talking about turn out to and states? >> we will have an early sense with virginia at 7:00 p.m. we will have exit poll numbers to give us a sense with ed dead heat depending on ho
connell: you think nevada colorado go to obama and he still wins ohio? >> yes. i am not perfect but the hispanic vote, obviously the storm is a massive tragedy to slow the governor's momentum. the president looked presidential. those two factors will make the difference. connell: looking at the possibilipossibili ty is the rest of the hour but the economic course 10 the former energy secretary, gas prices every day at the all-time high on election day. that have a negative effect at all...
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as this county goes, so goes nevada! ah! >> in a city that fell harder and faster than just about any place in the country. >> this better be a very close election. >> reporter: the stratosphere, like every place in vegas, suffered among some of the worst in nevada. >> the nevada landmark sunk more than $20 million into upgrades, including a new restaurant, and, oh, and that sky jump thing. most importantly, more than 100 new jobs. >> do you think las vegas is through the worst of it? >> it feels like it. you know, i drive to work every day, and i see stuff going on that i haven't seen for a little while. >> reporter: things like construction and homes being built in a place that once had the nation's highest foreclosure rate. >> how many durn dirns were you doing at the low point, and how many now? >> 250 to 400, and now between 450 and 700 a night. >> oh woushgs. >> big recovery. >> this is an important state. you know, clark county especially. >> comedy icon and clark county voter louie anderson who does four shows a week
as this county goes, so goes nevada! ah! >> in a city that fell harder and faster than just about any place in the country. >> this better be a very close election. >> reporter: the stratosphere, like every place in vegas, suffered among some of the worst in nevada. >> the nevada landmark sunk more than $20 million into upgrades, including a new restaurant, and, oh, and that sky jump thing. most importantly, more than 100 new jobs. >> do you think las vegas is...
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nevada both close at 10:00. the president has a small but steady lead there. as the numbers are coming in maybe you can help determine who is going to win. >>> how will they resinate with viewers? >> the two closing arguments i would rather be making the type of one that romney is making than the one that president obama is making. the president is burdened by a record he has basically not done what he said he would do. that is a huge problem for him. so necessarily there is a larger component to dump it on the other guy in his closing argument than it is in romney. romney talking about hope and change. that's what obama said four years ago. that's a more uplifting final argument to make. romney looks happier and comfortable with himself making it. the president seems a little weary a little horse and glad to have this over with. i think that's what romney is doing and saying may be a little more attractive. >> if the president does lose reelection what would be the reason? bill o'reilly has his take on that a little bit lart. >> it is time to brew on this. he
nevada both close at 10:00. the president has a small but steady lead there. as the numbers are coming in maybe you can help determine who is going to win. >>> how will they resinate with viewers? >> the two closing arguments i would rather be making the type of one that romney is making than the one that president obama is making. the president is burdened by a record he has basically not done what he said he would do. that is a huge problem for him. so necessarily there is a...
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. >> we have a call to make coming out of nevada. let's go ahead and tell you what we know arace that the race is going to go t heller. this is something -- dean heller was a former congressman from appointed to this seat after john ens advance of this harshly critical senate ethics report on his ean heller is going to the winner there berk joining us in a momentida, a state we still have not been able to call yet. back in a moo